MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 16:36:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Montpellier

Nantes
2 - 0
Montpellier

Mollet (44'), Bamba (74')
Mollet (65'), Bamba (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kouyate (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-2 Nantes
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 4-2 Clermont
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 2-2 Montpellier HSC

Sunday's game should be entertaining, but a score draw could be on the cards for teams expected to cancel each other out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.

Result
NantesDrawMontpellier HSC
38.23% (0.407 0.41) 25.22% (0.184 0.18) 36.55% (-0.583 -0.58)
Both teams to score 56.95% (-0.683 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.3% (-0.86799999999999 -0.87)46.7% (0.875 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.04% (-0.818 -0.82)68.96% (0.825 0.83)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.92% (-0.176 -0.18)24.08% (0.182 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.64% (-0.254 -0.25)58.36% (0.261 0.26)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01% (-0.71899999999999 -0.72)24.99% (0.726 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.35% (-1.01 -1.01)59.65% (1.017 1.02)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 38.23%
    Montpellier HSC 36.55%
    Draw 25.22%
NantesDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 8.57% (0.268 0.27)
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.1% (0.159 0.16)
3-1 @ 4.01%
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 38.23%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.02% (0.218 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 8.35% (0.133 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.084999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.79% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 36.55%

How you voted: Nantes vs Montpellier

Nantes
42.4%
Draw
39.4%
Montpellier HSC
18.2%
33
Head to Head
May 20, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 36
Nantes
0-3
Montpellier

Merlin (20'), Moutoussamy (49'), Mollet (58'), Blas (77')
Ferri (38'), Nordin (47'), Sacko (88')
Jan 15, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 19
Montpellier
0-3
Nantes
Girotto (45+13'), Mohamed (81'), Blas (84')
Mar 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 27
Nantes
2-0
Montpellier
Kolo (69'), Geubbels (90+2')
Castelletto (30')

Ristic (79')
Oct 31, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 12
Montpellier
2-0
Nantes
Mollet (64'), Wahi (71')
Savanier (37'), Sakho (42'), Ferri (90+2')

Appiah (35'), Traore (44'), Pallois (73'), Girotto (90'), Castelletto (90+2')
May 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 38
Nantes
1-2
Montpellier
Kolo (33')
Coco (82'), Blas (90+1')
Laborde (30'), Delort (76')
Hilton (18'), Souquet (45+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!