Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
41.31% ( -0.45) | 26.04% ( -0.2) | 32.66% ( 0.65) |
Both teams to score 53.43% ( 0.85) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.1% ( 0.99) | 50.89% ( -0.99) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.23% ( 0.87) | 72.77% ( -0.87) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.63% ( 0.21) | 24.37% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.23% ( 0.3) | 58.77% ( -0.3) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.65% ( 0.92) | 29.35% ( -0.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.67% ( 1.12) | 65.33% ( -1.12) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 41.3% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 20 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 54 | 19 | 35 | 50 |
2 | Marseille | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 37 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 37 |
4 | Lille | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 35 |
5 | Nice | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 33 |
6 | Lens | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 33 |
7 | Lyon | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 25 |
11 | Auxerre | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 23 |
12 | Reims | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
13 | Angers | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 18 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 18 |
16 | Rennes | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 17 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 13 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |