Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Lorient0 - 3Montpellier
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nantes 5-3 Lorient
Saturday, September 23 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, September 23 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Rennes
Sunday, September 24 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, September 24 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
We said: Lorient 2-2 Montpellier HSC
Both sides have been among the goals frequently this season, but letting in too many means they are both early relegation candidates. The two have been prone to drawing matches this season, and the same could well happen again, extending Montpellier's unbeaten run to 14 matches in this fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Lorient win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
31.06% ( -0.81) | 23.89% ( -0.23) | 45.05% ( 1.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.07% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.05% ( 0.72) | 41.94% ( -0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.65% ( 0.73) | 64.35% ( -0.73) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.03% ( -0.15) | 25.97% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.02% ( -0.2) | 60.98% ( 0.2) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.15% ( 0.73) | 18.85% ( -0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.69% ( 1.21) | 50.31% ( -1.21) |
| Score Analysis |
Lorient 31.06%
Montpellier HSC 45.05%
Draw 23.89%
| Lorient | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.25)2-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0)3-0 @ 2% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 31.06% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 9.19% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 5.11% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.38% Total : 45.05% |
How you voted: Lorient vs Montpellier
Lorient
25.9%Draw
39.7%Montpellier HSC
34.5%58
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 2pm
Dec 29, 2022 4pm
