Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Nantes5 - 3Lorient
We said: Nantes 2-2 Lorient
Carrying a three-game unbeaten streak into Saturday's clash, Nantes will back themselves to avoid defeat on home soil, but Lorient look set to get something from their trip to the Stade de la Beaujoire as they have lost just one of their five matches this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Lorient |
41.52% ( 0.4) | 26.61% ( -0.02) | 31.87% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 51.33% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.51% ( -0.05) | 53.49% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.99% ( -0.04) | 75.01% ( 0.05) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.58% ( 0.18) | 25.42% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.76% ( 0.25) | 60.24% ( -0.24) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.82% ( -0.28) | 31.18% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.49% ( -0.33) | 67.51% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
Nantes 41.51%
Lorient 31.87%
Draw 26.61%
| Nantes | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.4% Total : 41.51% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.96% Total : 31.87% |
How you voted: Nantes vs Lorient
Nantes
43.8%Draw
43.8%Lorient
12.5%16
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2023 4.05pm
Jan 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 22
Nantes
4-2
Lorient
Dec 5, 2021 2pm
Mar 21, 2021 2pm
