Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 57.8%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Angers had a probability of 20.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for an Angers win it was 1-2 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Angers |
57.8% ( -0.73) | 22.01% ( -0.22) | 20.19% ( 0.96) |
Both teams to score 55.26% ( 2.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.83% ( 2.35) | 43.17% ( -2.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.43% ( 2.28) | 65.57% ( -2.28) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.33% ( 0.56) | 14.67% ( -0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.17% ( 1.06) | 42.83% ( -1.06) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.76% ( 2.36) | 35.24% ( -2.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.01% ( 2.38) | 71.99% ( -2.38) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Angers |
2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.85) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.61) 3-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.16) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 57.8% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.55) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.01% | 1-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.24) 0-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.93% Total : 20.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |