MX23RW : Tuesday, September 17 09:54:50| >> :60:246:246:
Club Friendlies
Aug 7, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Merkur Arena
PSG logo

Sturm Graz
2 - 2
PSG

Camara (15'), Kiteishvili (43')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Mbaye (9'), Soler (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Sturm Graz and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rapid Vienna 1-0 Sturm Graz
Sunday, August 4 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Lyon 1-2 PSG
Saturday, May 25 at 8pm in Coupe de France

We said: Sturm Graz 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain

Already two matches into their competitive schedule, Sturm Graz's sharpness could give them a much-needed advantage as they take on the French champions on Wednesday night. PSG are likely to make a raft of substitutions during the contest which could result in a disjointed performance, but we still believe that Les Parisiens will have enough quality to commence their pre-season plans with victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 59.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 19.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.2%) and 0-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Sturm Graz win it was 2-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawParis Saint-Germain
19.55% (1.305 1.31) 21.09% (0.531 0.53) 59.35% (-1.837 -1.84)
Both teams to score 57.33% (0.569 0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.08% (-0.387 -0.39)39.92% (0.385 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.72% (-0.40199999999999 -0.4)62.28% (0.401 0.4)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66% (1.145 1.15)34% (-1.148 -1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.31% (1.213 1.21)70.68% (-1.217 -1.22)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.87% (-0.65600000000001 -0.66)13.13% (0.655 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.21% (-1.346 -1.35)39.78% (1.343 1.34)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 19.55%
    Paris Saint-Germain 59.35%
    Draw 21.09%
Sturm GrazDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 5.27% (0.285 0.29)
1-0 @ 4.82% (0.231 0.23)
2-0 @ 2.6% (0.2 0.2)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.115 0.12)
3-1 @ 1.9% (0.157 0.16)
3-0 @ 0.93% (0.099 0.1)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 19.55%
1-1 @ 9.78% (0.235 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.162 0.16)
0-0 @ 4.46% (0.079 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.09%
1-2 @ 9.93% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 9.2% (-0.297 -0.3)
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 6.72% (-0.173 -0.17)
0-3 @ 6.23% (-0.363 -0.36)
2-3 @ 3.62% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.41% (-0.176 -0.18)
0-4 @ 3.16% (-0.268 -0.27)
2-4 @ 1.84% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.39% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-5 @ 1.28% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 59.35%

How you voted: Sturm Graz vs PSG

Sturm Graz
25.0%
Draw
4.5%
Paris Saint-Germain
70.5%
44
rhs 2.0
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