Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
44.77% (![]() | 26.16% (![]() | 29.06% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.42% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.24% (![]() | 52.76% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.61% (![]() | 74.39% (![]() |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.53% (![]() | 23.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.5% (![]() | 57.49% (![]() |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.19% (![]() | 32.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.62% (![]() | 69.37% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
1-0 @ 11.16% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.01% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.09% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.36% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.91% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.42% ( ![]() Other @ 2.83% Total : 44.77% | 1-1 @ 12.43% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.7% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.02% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 8.58% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.93% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.78% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.78% ( ![]() Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 9 |
2 | Marseille | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
3 | NantesNantes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
5 | Lens | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
6 | Lille | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
7 | Le HavreLe Havre | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
8 | Nice | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
10 | Reims | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Rennes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Brest | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 |
13 | Auxerre | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
14 | Lyon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
15 | Toulouse | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 1 |
17 | Angers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 |
18 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |