Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 53.88%. A win for Brest had a probability of 23.08% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Brest |
53.88% (![]() | 23.04% (![]() | 23.08% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.83% (![]() | 44.18% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.45% (![]() | 66.56% (![]() |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.67% (![]() | 16.34% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.07% (![]() | 45.93% (![]() |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.93% (![]() | 33.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.33% (![]() | 69.67% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Brest |
2-1 @ 9.81% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.79% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.87% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.93% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.36% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.28% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 3.29% Total : 53.88% | 1-1 @ 10.83% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.43% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.4% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 5.99% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.98% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 2.38% Total : 23.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 9 |
2 | Marseille | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
3 | NantesNantes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
5 | Lens | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
6 | Lille | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
7 | Le HavreLe Havre | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
8 | Nice | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
10 | Reims | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Rennes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Brest | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 |
13 | Auxerre | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
14 | Lyon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
15 | Toulouse | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 1 |
17 | Angers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 |
18 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |