Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 38%. A win for Lens had a probability of 37.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Lens |
38% ( 0.03) | 24.52% ( 0.01) | 37.48% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 59.54% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.63% ( -0.04) | 43.37% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.24% ( -0.04) | 65.76% ( 0.04) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.3% ( -0) | 22.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.64% ( -0) | 56.36% ( 0) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.03% ( -0.04) | 22.97% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.24% ( -0.06) | 56.76% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Lens |
2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 38% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.64% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 37.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |