MX23RW : Thursday, January 23 22:25:46| >> :60:30:30:
PSG logo
Trophee des Champions | Final
Jan 5, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Stadium 974
Monaco

PSG
1 - 0
Monaco

Dembele (90+2')
Mendes (23'), Barcola (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vanderson (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Trophee des Champions clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last Game: Lens 1-1 PSG (3-4 pen.)
Sunday, December 22 at 8pm in Coupe de France

Monaco

All competitions
Last Game: Union Saint-Jean 1-4 Monaco
Sunday, December 22 at 1.45pm in Coupe de France

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Monaco

 PSG and Monaco are in contrasting form ahead of their Trophee de Champions clash, though the winter break may have given Hutter's side a chance to reset for the second part of the season. However, when factoring in Les Monegasques' extensive injury list, it is difficult to see how they can avoid another defeat against Les Parisiens on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 55.63%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 22.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMonaco
55.63% (1.049 1.05) 21.63% (-0.375 -0.38) 22.74% (-0.672 -0.67)
Both teams to score 60.45% (0.459 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.91% (1.002 1)38.09% (-0.998 -1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.65% (1.058 1.06)60.35% (-1.055 -1.06)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.35% (0.67 0.67)13.65% (-0.668 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.16% (1.315 1.32)40.83% (-1.313 -1.31)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)30% (0.011999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.88% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)66.12% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 55.63%
    Monaco 22.74%
    Draw 21.63%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.15% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-0 @ 8.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.49% (0.161 0.16)
3-0 @ 5.39% (0.135 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.91% (0.096 0.1)
4-1 @ 3.23% (0.156 0.16)
4-0 @ 2.68% (0.13 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.093 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.29% (0.092 0.09)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 55.63%
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.232 -0.23)
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 4.1% (-0.198 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.63%
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-1 @ 4.93% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-2 @ 2.97% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 22.74%

How you voted: PSG vs Monaco

Paris Saint-Germain
91.5%
Monaco
8.5%
71
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2-4
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Singo (13'), Camara (29')
Hutter (90+5')
Doue (24'), Dembele (64', 90+7'), Ramos (83')
> Preview
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Gameweek 24
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Singo (59')
> Preview
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