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Ligue 1
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Dec 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Monaco

Marseille
2 - 1
Monaco

Henrique (53'), Greenwood (89' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Golovin (41')
Vanderson (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Last Game: Lens 1-3 Marseille
Saturday, November 23 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Monaco

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 2-3 Benfica
Wednesday, November 27 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Marseille 1-1 Monaco

 Marseille have looked anything but convincing at home this season, but they are coming up against a Monegasque team who were left frustrated and fatigued in mid-week, so we project a stalemate on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 37.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Marseille in this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawMonaco
38.12% (-3.166 -3.17) 24.33% (-0.179 -0.18) 37.54% (3.347 3.35)
Both teams to score 60.22% (1.134 1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.51% (1.274 1.27)42.48% (-1.272 -1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.11% (1.259 1.26)64.89% (-1.256 -1.26)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (-0.98399999999999 -0.98)22.25% (0.987 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.31% (-1.503 -1.5)55.69% (1.505 1.51)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46% (2.41 2.41)22.54% (-2.406 -2.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.87% (3.463 3.46)56.12% (-3.459 -3.46)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 38.12%
    Monaco 37.54%
    Draw 24.33%
MarseilleDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.389 -0.39)
1-0 @ 7.54% (-0.676 -0.68)
2-0 @ 5.66% (-0.693 -0.69)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.328 -0.33)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.84% (-0.444 -0.44)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.175 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.204 -0.2)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 38.12%
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 6.29% (0.158 0.16)
0-0 @ 5.02% (-0.289 -0.29)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.33%
1-2 @ 8.37% (0.45 0.45)
0-1 @ 7.47% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.57% (0.453 0.45)
1-3 @ 4.15% (0.491 0.49)
2-3 @ 3.12% (0.285 0.29)
0-3 @ 2.76% (0.398 0.4)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.276 0.28)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.179 0.18)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.209 0.21)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 37.54%

How you voted: Marseille vs Monaco

Marseille
36.7%
Draw
34.2%
Monaco
29.2%
120
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 19
Marseille
2-2
Monaco
Aubameyang (38'), Balerdi (50')
Soglo (76')
Ben Yedder (7'), Akliouche (45+4')
Zakaria (75'), Kehrer (82')
Maripan (11'), Zakaria (86')
> Preview
Sep 30, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
Monaco
3-2
Marseille
Akliouche (8', 52'), Balogun (23')
Fofana (42'), Zakaria (59'), Matazo (76'), Magassa (90+2')
Ndiaye (1'), Gigot (18')
Correa (54'), Correa (59'), Clauss (73'), Rongier (77')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 20
Marseille
1-1
Monaco
Sanchez (47')
Veretout (17' og.)
> Preview
Nov 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Monaco
2-3
Marseille
Ben Yedder (45' pen.), Volland (72')
Sanchez (35'), Veretout (83'), Kolasinac (90+7')
> Preview
Mar 6, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Marseille
0-1
Monaco

Peres (53'), Sampaoli (82'), Kamara (90+1')
Martins (58')
Disasi (56')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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