Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Louis II
Monaco2 - 3Marseille
We said: Monaco 2-1 Marseille
A very evenly-matched contest, this is a top-of-the-table clash that could swing either way, with both sides boasting huge quality throughout. Nonetheless, given Monaco's remarkable scoring streak, and Marseille's inconsistencies of late, we are predicting a narrow win for the hosts. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Marseille |
42.67% ( 0.01) | 25.1% ( 0) | 32.23% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.39% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
