Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Lille had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Lille |
45.58% ( 0.46) | 24.68% ( -0.14) | 29.73% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 56.59% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.8% ( 0.48) | 46.2% ( -0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.51% ( 0.45) | 68.49% ( -0.45) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.65% ( 0.4) | 20.35% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.26% ( 0.63) | 52.74% ( -0.63) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.04% ( 0.02) | 28.96% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.15% ( 0.03) | 64.85% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.81% Total : 45.58% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |