Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
We said: Lille 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain
Even though Lille were the last team to stop PSG winning the title in France, the Parisians have certainly gotten their revenge in meetings since, especially at this venue, as the visitors won 5-1 and 7-1 in the space of six months in 2022.
Having now gone 25 games without defeat on the road in Ligue 1, PSG will feel confident of extending that run despite their hosts' equally-impressive start.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Lille had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Lille win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.
| Result |
| Lille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
31.67% ( 0.12) | 23.98% ( 0.05) | 44.35% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 60.07% ( -0.13) |
