Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Nantes1 - 2Lille
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brest 0-0 Nantes
Saturday, May 4 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, May 4 at 8pm in Ligue 1
We said: Nantes 0-2 Lille
Lille's powers of recovery after suffering a defeat have been a cornerstone of their success this season, while Nantes cannot buy a point let alone a win at home and do not strike fear into the hearts of opposing defences. The hosts' rearguard action against Brest was admirable, and Fonseca's attacking ranks have been decimated over the past week, but the visitors should still find a way through to all but confirm their Champions League status. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 17.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.84%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Lille |
17.86% ( 0) | 22.19% ( 0) | 59.95% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.54% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.59% ( -0.01) | 47.41% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.37% ( -0.01) | 69.63% ( 0.01) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.75% ( 0) | 40.25% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.12% ( 0) | 76.88% ( 0) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.6% ( -0.01) | 15.4% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.78% ( -0.01) | 44.22% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Nantes 17.86%
Lille 59.94%
Draw 22.19%
| Nantes | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 5.64% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.8% 2-0 @ 2.57% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.46% 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 17.86% | 1-1 @ 10.55% 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.19% | 0-1 @ 11.59% 0-2 @ 10.84% 1-2 @ 9.87% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.76% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.16% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.16% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.88% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.8% 2-4 @ 1.31% 0-5 @ 1.18% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 59.94% |
How you voted: Nantes vs Lille
Nantes
16.7%Draw
19.0%Lille
64.3%42
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 2
Lille
2-0
Nantes
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Lille
2-1
Nantes
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 29
Nantes
0-1
Lille
