Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 20.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Nantes |
53.44% | 26.27% | 20.29% |
Both teams to score 42.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.41% | 59.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.07% | 79.93% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.53% | 22.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.98% | 56.02% |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.4% | 44.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.39% | 80.62% |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Nantes |
1-0 @ 14.96% 2-0 @ 11.17% 2-1 @ 9.02% 3-0 @ 5.56% 3-1 @ 4.49% 4-0 @ 2.08% 3-2 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.68% Total : 53.44% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.53% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 8.09% 1-2 @ 4.88% 0-2 @ 3.27% 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.76% Total : 20.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |