Champions League | League Stage
Oct 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lille1 - 0Real Madrid
The Match
Match Report
Jonathan David scores the winner as Lille record a shock 1-0 victory over Champions League holders Real Madrid in France.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Lille and Real Madrid.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Lille and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Tuesday's Champions League clash with Lille.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their trip to France to face Lille in the Champions League on Wednesday.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Le Havre 0-3 Lille
Saturday, September 28 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, September 28 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: Atletico 1-1 Real Madrid
Sunday, September 29 at 8pm in La Liga
Sunday, September 29 at 8pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
17
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for Lille had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Lille win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Real Madrid |
26.42% ( 0.02) | 23.31% ( 0.07) | 50.26% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 58.71% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.74% ( -0.32) | 42.25% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.34% ( -0.31) | 64.66% ( 0.31) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.68% ( -0.15) | 29.31% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.71% ( -0.18) | 65.28% ( 0.18) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.06% ( -0.16) | 16.93% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.99% ( -0.27) | 47.01% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
Lille 26.42%
Real Madrid 50.26%
Draw 23.31%
| Lille | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 2-1 @ 6.64% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0)Other @ 3.3% Total : 26.42% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.31% | 1-2 @ 9.61% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.69% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.08% Total : 50.26% |
How you voted: Lille vs Real Madrid
Lille
9.7%Draw
6.5%Real Madrid
83.8%371
Form Guide
Build-up
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