Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 58.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 19.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Madrid | Draw | Real Betis |
58.01% ( -1.56) | 22.32% ( 0.43) | 19.66% ( 1.13) |
Both teams to score 53.33% ( 0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.69% ( -0.23) | 45.31% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.35% ( -0.22) | 67.64% ( 0.22) |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.67% ( -0.58) | 15.33% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.92% ( -1.11) | 44.07% ( 1.11) |
Real Betis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.99% ( 1.09) | 37.01% ( -1.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.2% ( 1.07) | 73.8% ( -1.07) |
Score Analysis |
Real Madrid | Draw | Real Betis |
1-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.49% Total : 58.01% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.32% | 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.67% Total : 19.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 44 |
2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Osasuna | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 24 |
13 | Sevilla | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 22 |
15 | Getafe | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 |
16 | Leganes | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 17 |
18 | Espanyol | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 16 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 15 |
20 | Valencia | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 |
> La Liga Full Table |