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La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Benito Villamarin
Almeria

Betis
3 - 2
Almeria

Fornals (8'), Isco (28'), Perez (64')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Baptistao (45+1'), Romero (66')
Pena (40'), Chumi (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Betis and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 0-2 Betis
Sunday, May 5 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Real Betis 2-0 Almeria

Almeria will certainly have gained confidence from their success over Rayo last time out, but this is a different test entirely, with Real Betis pushing for the top six, and we are expecting a routine home success for Pellegrini's side on Sunday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.

Result
Real BetisDrawAlmeria
58.14% (0.585 0.59) 21.82% (0.138 0.14) 20.03% (-0.721 -0.72)
Both teams to score 55.62% (-1.65 -1.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.43% (-1.633 -1.63)42.57% (1.637 1.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.02% (-1.648 -1.65)64.97% (1.651 1.65)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.64% (-0.355 -0.36)14.36% (0.359 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.77% (-0.7 -0.7)42.23% (0.704 0.7)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.94% (-1.648 -1.65)35.05% (1.653 1.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.2% (-1.768 -1.77)71.8% (1.773 1.77)
Score Analysis
    Real Betis 58.14%
    Almeria 20.03%
    Draw 21.82%
Real BetisDrawAlmeria
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.77% (0.576 0.58)
2-0 @ 9.48% (0.441 0.44)
3-1 @ 6.43% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.13% (0.209 0.21)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-1 @ 3.12% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.064 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.115 -0.12)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 58.14%
1-1 @ 10.24% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.225 -0.23)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.358 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.82%
1-2 @ 5.37% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-1 @ 5.28% (0.149 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.77% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 20.03%

How you voted: Betis vs Almeria

Real Betis
88.9%
Draw
6.3%
Almeria
4.8%
63
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 15
Almeria
0-0
Betis
Roca (52'), Diao (73'), Silva (83')
Bellerin (27')
Feb 11, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 21
Almeria
2-3
Betis
Suarez Charris (27'), Samu (62')
Rodri (6'), Canales (42'), Guardado (70')
Oct 16, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 9
Betis
3-1
Almeria
Carvalho (23', 71'), Iglesias (66')
Dec 16, 2014 9pm
Round Four
Almeria
2-1
Betis
Michel (59'), Zongo (74')
Michel (9'), Bifouma (46'), Trujillo (71'), Corona (84')
Perquis (78')
Perquis (50'), Piccini (61')
Dec 5, 2014 9pm
Round Four
Betis
3-4
Almeria
Castro (80'), Perquis (86'), Molina (90')
Perquis (36'), Caro (60'), Casado (63')
Mane (3'), Dangda (7'), Quique (29'), Mendez (61')
Sanchez (46'), Dangda (57')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Barcelona19122551222938
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011


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