Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Real Betis |
34.88% ( 0.21) | 27.52% ( 0.07) | 37.59% ( -0.28) |
Both teams to score 49.2% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.51% ( -0.25) | 56.48% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.52% ( -0.2) | 77.48% ( 0.2) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.31% ( 0) | 30.69% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.06% ( 0.01) | 66.94% ( -0.01) |
Real Betis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.98% ( -0.29) | 29.01% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.08% ( -0.35) | 64.92% ( 0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Real Betis |
1-0 @ 10.51% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 34.88% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 37.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |