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Las Palmas
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La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 20, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Real Betis logo

Valencia
1 - 2
Betis

Pepelu (66' pen.)
Pepelu (43'), Guillamon (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Perez (19', 77')
Sabaly (13'), Pellegrini (14'), Bakambu (64'), Miranda (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 0-1 Valencia
Monday, April 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 2-1 Celta Vigo
Friday, April 12 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 2-1 Real Betis

Real Betis have dropped points in 12 of their 15 away league games this season, while Valencia have posted eight wins at Mestalla in Spain's top flight in 2023-24. Los Che are in strong form, and we are expecting the six-time Spanish champions to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawReal Betis
42.45% (0.296 0.3) 28.16% (0.114 0.11) 29.39% (-0.409 -0.41)
Both teams to score 45.83% (-0.495 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.01% (-0.531 -0.53)59.99% (0.533 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.77% (-0.406 -0.41)80.23% (0.407 0.41)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.06% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)27.94% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.43% (-0.118 -0.12)63.57% (0.119 0.12)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.6% (-0.605 -0.6)36.4% (0.606 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.81% (-0.616 -0.62)73.19% (0.617 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 42.44%
    Real Betis 29.38%
    Draw 28.15%
ValenciaDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 12.96% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.27% (0.122 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.55% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 42.44%
1-1 @ 13.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.17% (0.201 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.15%
0-1 @ 10.27% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.62% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.19% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 29.38%

How you voted: Valencia vs Betis

Valencia
71.4%
Draw
20.6%
Real Betis
7.9%
63
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Betis
3-0
Valencia
Diao (41'), Roca (52'), Ezzalzouli (85')
Perez (11'), Pezzella (90')

Ozkacar (40'), Paulista (43')
Jun 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Betis
1-1
Valencia
Perez (1')
Guardado (90+11'), Iglesias (90+10'), Cruz (90+6')
Lopez (71')
Musah (81')
Nov 10, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 14
Valencia
3-0
Betis
Almeida (63'), Guillamon (81' pen.), Kluivert (90+3')
May 10, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 36
Valencia
0-3
Betis

Alderete (31')
Jose (57'), Canales (87'), Iglesias (90')
Canales (45'), Rodri (60'), Bartra (83')
Apr 23, 2022 9pm
Final
Betis
1-1
Valencia
(Aggregate 1-1 | Betis win 5-4 on penalties)
Iglesias (11')
Carvalho (14'), Pezzella (72'), Iglesias (95'), Tello (113')
Duro (30')
Paulista (5'), Guillamon (74'), Alderete (90+2'), Correia (90+3'), Soler (98')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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