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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Mar 17, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Valencia logo

Villarreal
1 - 0
Valencia

Cuenca (54')
Femenia (12'), Coquelin (35'), Baena (41'), Cuenca (52'), Mandi (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ozkacar (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 3-1 Marseille
Thursday, March 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Getafe
Saturday, March 9 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-2 Valencia

This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, and we are predicting goals on Sunday. Villarreal are in excellent form, but Valencia will be comfortably the fresher of the two teams, and we are expecting Los Che to claim a share of the spoils this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 21.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Villarreal in this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawValencia
54.63% (0.191 0.19) 23.45% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08) 21.91% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 53.09% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.71% (0.202 0.2)47.29% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.49% (0.187 0.19)69.51% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.81% (0.143 0.14)17.19% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.54% (0.251 0.25)47.46% (-0.25 -0.25)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.12% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)35.88% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.34% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)72.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 54.63%
    Valencia 21.91%
    Draw 23.45%
VillarrealDrawValencia
1-0 @ 10.86% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.56% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.61% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.47% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 54.63%
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.45%
0-1 @ 6.32% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.71% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.24% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 21.91%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Valencia

Villarreal
50.0%
Draw
32.3%
Valencia
17.7%
62
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 19
Valencia
3-1
Villarreal
Yaremchuk (4'), Pepelu (27' pen., 57' pen.)
Gaya (63'), Lopez (74')
Moreno (73')
Bailly (37'), Marcelino (38'), Parejo (49'), Capoue (56'), Terrats (80'), Cuenca (90+2')
May 3, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
Valencia
1-1
Villarreal
Lino (72')
Jackson (62')
Dec 31, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 15
Villarreal
2-1
Valencia
Chukwueze (45'), Foyth (88')
Cavani (21')
Apr 19, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Villarreal
2-0
Valencia
Danjuma (10' pen., 17')
Trigueros (75'), Aurier (84')

Comert (9'), Maranhao (40'), Moriba (66')
Oct 30, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Valencia
2-0
Villarreal
Guillamon (43'), Soler (77' pen.)
Guillamon (47'), Alderete (63')

Danjuma (53'), Trigueros (73'), Albiol (75'), Chukwueze (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Athletic Bilbao00000000
2Atletico MadridAtletico00000000
3Celta Vigo00000000
4AlavesAlaves00000000
5Espanyol00000000
6Barcelona00000000
7Getafe00000000
8GironaGirona00000000
9Las PalmasLas Palmas00000000
10Leganes00000000
11Mallorca00000000
12Osasuna00000000
13Rayo Vallecano00000000
14Real BetisBetis00000000
15Real Madrid00000000
16Real Sociedad00000000
17Real ValladolidValladolid00000000
18Sevilla00000000
19Valencia00000000
20Villarreal00000000


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