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La Liga
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La Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 2, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
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Valencia
3 - 1
Villarreal

Yaremchuk (4'), Pepelu (27' pen., 57' pen.)
Gaya (63'), Lopez (74')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Moreno (73')
Bailly (37'), Marcelino (38'), Parejo (49'), Capoue (56'), Terrats (80'), Cuenca (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Valencia
Tuesday, December 19 at 6pm in La Liga

Villarreal

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 3-2 Celta Vigo
Wednesday, December 20 at 8.30pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 2-1 Villarreal

 Both teams will be missing some important players for this match, but Villarreal will be hit harder in terms of absentees. It would not be a surprise to see the points shared on Tuesday, but we believe that Valencia have enough quality to navigate their way to a narrow success in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawVillarreal
43.96% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 25.5% (0.0030000000000001 0) 30.54% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 54.32% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.64% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)49.36% (0.011999999999993 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.59% (-0.012 -0.01)71.4% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.6% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)22.4% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.09% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)55.91% (0.012 0.01)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)30% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)66.12% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 43.95%
    Villarreal 30.54%
    Draw 25.49%
ValenciaDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.52%
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 43.95%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 8.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 7.29%
0-2 @ 4.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.93%
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 30.54%

How you voted: Valencia vs Villarreal

Valencia
58.4%
Draw
24.7%
Villarreal
16.9%
77
Head to Head
May 3, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
Valencia
1-1
Villarreal
Lino (72')
Jackson (62')
> Preview
Dec 31, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 15
Villarreal
2-1
Valencia
Chukwueze (45'), Foyth (88')
Cavani (21')
> Preview
Apr 19, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Villarreal
2-0
Valencia
Danjuma (10' pen., 17')
Trigueros (75'), Aurier (84')

Comert (9'), Maranhao (40'), Moriba (66')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Valencia
2-0
Villarreal
Guillamon (43'), Soler (77' pen.)
Guillamon (47'), Alderete (63')

Danjuma (53'), Trigueros (73'), Albiol (75'), Chukwueze (79')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 26
Valencia
2-1
Villarreal
Soler (86' pen.), Guedes (90+2')
Racic (14'), Soler (23'), Gaya (39'), Gomez (67')
Moreno (40' pen.)
Foyth (36'), Capoue (42'), Albiol (85')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
> La Liga Full Table


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