Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Villarreal |
23.02% | 24.74% | 52.24% |
Both teams to score 50.52% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.61% | 51.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.79% | 73.21% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.87% | 37.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.09% | 73.91% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.35% | 19.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.38% | 51.62% |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 7.23% 2-1 @ 5.83% 2-0 @ 3.58% 3-1 @ 1.93% 3-2 @ 1.57% 3-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.71% Total : 23.02% | 1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 7.3% 2-2 @ 4.74% Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 11.86% 0-2 @ 9.66% 1-2 @ 9.57% 0-3 @ 5.24% 1-3 @ 5.19% 2-3 @ 2.57% 0-4 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 2.11% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.86% Total : 52.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |