Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 58.59%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 18.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Valencia |
58.59% | 23.01% | 18.4% |
Both teams to score 49.01% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.04% | 49.96% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.05% | 71.95% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.25% | 16.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.33% | 46.67% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.87% | 41.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.33% | 77.67% |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 12.3% 2-0 @ 10.99% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 6.55% 3-1 @ 5.82% 4-0 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-2 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 1.05% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.91% Total : 58.58% | 1-1 @ 10.93% 0-0 @ 6.89% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.85% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 6.12% 1-2 @ 4.86% 0-2 @ 2.72% 1-3 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.98% Total : 18.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |