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Athletic Bilbao logo
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Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
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Real Betis logo
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Real Valladolid logo
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Rayo Vallecano logo
La Liga | Gameweek 36
May 12, 2022 at 7pm UK
Estadio Teresa Rivero
Villarreal logo

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 5
Villarreal

Guardiola (21')
Maras (30'), Garcia (45+2'), Comesana (45+2'), Lopez (76'), Sylla (77')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Pedraza (3', 88'), Foyth (27'), Alcacer (38'), Torres (45+1')
Emery (61'), Rulli (61'), Albiol (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Villarreal

Villarreal need the points more than Rayo, but the home side's recent form must be respected, therefore this is a difficult match to call. It would not be a surprise to see a home or away victory on Thursday, but we believe that the two teams could ultimately cancel each other out in an entertaining draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawVillarreal
33.85% (0.064999999999998 0.06) 27.39% (0.034000000000002 0.03) 38.76% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Both teams to score 49.47% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.92% (-0.113 -0.11)56.08% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.85% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)77.16% (0.094000000000008 0.09)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)31.16% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.51% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)67.49% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86% (-0.107 -0.11)28.14% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.18% (-0.139 -0.14)63.82% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 33.85%
    Villarreal 38.75%
    Draw 27.38%
Rayo VallecanoDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 10.22% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.56% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 5.96% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.94%
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 33.85%
1-1 @ 12.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.77% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 11.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.47% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.98% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 38.75%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal

Rayo Vallecano
21.2%
Draw
23.5%
Villarreal
55.3%
132
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2021 1pm
Villarreal
2-0
Rayo Vallecano
Mandi (32'), Moreno (36' pen.)
Torres (23')

Catena (37'), Isi (38'), Garcia (61')
Jan 29, 2020 6pm
Rayo Vallecano
0-2
Villarreal

Milic (28')
Nino (84'), Cazorla (85')
Funes Mori (25'), Cazorla (80')
Mar 17, 2019 5.30pm
Nov 11, 2018 5.30pm
Apr 17, 2016 5.15pm
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Villarreal
Guerra (7'), Miku (81')
Guerra (56'), Amaya (67')
Adrian (20')
Ruiz (57'), Marin (59'), Gaspar (71'), Leiva (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515


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