Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 38 | 49 | 86 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 55.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 21.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Barcelona | Draw | Villarreal |
55.66% ( -0.58) | 23.06% ( 0.11) | 21.28% ( 0.46) |
Both teams to score 53.49% ( 0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.66% ( 0.11) | 46.34% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.37% ( 0.1) | 68.62% ( -0.1) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.51% ( -0.16) | 16.48% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.79% ( -0.29) | 46.2% ( 0.29) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.05% ( 0.52) | 35.95% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.27% ( 0.53) | 72.73% ( -0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.21% Total : 55.65% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.06% | 0-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.85% Total : 21.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |