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La Liga | Gameweek 18
Dec 20, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Celta Vigo logo

Villarreal
3 - 2
Celta Vigo

Pedraza (13'), Mandi (40'), Parejo (48' pen.)
Baena (75'), Comesana (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Douvikas (52'), Strand Larsen (57')
Vazquez (46'), Mingueza (72'), Sanchez (82'), Douvikas (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-1 Villarreal
Sunday, December 17 at 8pm in La Liga

Celta Vigo

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Granada
Saturday, December 16 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 1-1 Celta Vigo

 After beating Granada at the weekend, Celta will go into the final match of 2023 in high spirits, and with their last two away games finishing all square, we think that the visitors will do enough to hold Villarreal to a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawCelta Vigo
47.23% (1.068 1.07) 24.38% (0.112 0.11) 28.38% (-1.182 -1.18)
Both teams to score 56.71% (-1.186 -1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.36% (-1.202 -1.2)45.63% (1.2 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.04% (-1.154 -1.15)67.96% (1.153 1.15)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.58% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)19.42% (0.034000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.75% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)51.24% (0.055 0.05)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.37% (-1.443 -1.44)29.62% (1.44 1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.33% (-1.789 -1.79)65.66% (1.788 1.79)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 47.23%
    Celta Vigo 28.38%
    Draw 24.38%
VillarrealDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 9.43% (0.464 0.46)
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.087 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.73% (0.373 0.37)
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.2 0.2)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.1% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.08 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 47.23%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.75% (0.289 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 7% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 6.98% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-2 @ 4.26% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.205 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 28.38%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Celta Vigo

Villarreal
51.9%
Draw
35.1%
Celta Vigo
13.0%
77
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 32
Villarreal
3-1
Celta Vigo
Jackson (2', 12'), Terrats (70')
Strand Larsen (29')
> Preview
Jan 13, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Celta Vigo
1-1
Villarreal
Strand Larsen (68')
Moreno (15')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Villarreal
1-0
Celta Vigo
Parejo (64')
Iborra (34')

Galan (90+4')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 14
Celta Vigo
1-1
Villarreal
Mendez (72')
Mina (17')
Moreno (27')
Foyth (45')
> Preview
May 9, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 35
Villarreal
2-4
Celta Vigo
Gomez (25'), Moreno (87' pen.)
Estupinan (5'), Asenjo (33'), Pino (89')
Rulli (45+4'), Gaspar (45+7')
Mina (19', 34'), Mendez (45+3' pen.), Solari (57')
Araujo (44'), Ferreyra (79')
Ferreyra (88')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
> La Liga Full Table


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