La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 2, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Girona2 - 1Valencia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Girona 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Monday, November 27 at 8pm in La Liga
Monday, November 27 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Girona 1-1 Valencia
This is a testing period for Girona, as their winning momentum was broken last time out, and Valencia are not losing too many matches at the moment. It would not be a surprise to see Girona return to winning ways, but we have a feeling that Valencia will be good enough for a point on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Valencia |
46.64% ( 0.04) | 24.93% ( -0.01) | 28.43% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.01% ( 0.01) | 47.98% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.84% ( 0.01) | 70.15% ( -0.02) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.38% ( 0.02) | 20.62% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.82% ( 0.03) | 53.17% ( -0.04) |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.2% ( -0.02) | 30.8% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.93% ( -0.02) | 67.07% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Girona 46.63%
Valencia 28.43%
Draw 24.92%
| Girona | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 46.63% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 28.43% |
How you voted: Girona vs Valencia
Girona
71.6%Draw
19.4%Valencia
9.0%67
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2023 3.15pm
Form Guide
