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La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 22, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Almeria

Girona
5 - 2
Almeria

Martin (37'), Dovbyk (39', 43'), Savio (71'), Stuani (85')
Lopez (45+4')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Baptistao (2', 24')
Robertone (26'), Baptistao (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Girona and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions
Last Game: Cadiz 0-1 Girona
Saturday, October 7 at 1pm in La Liga

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Almeria
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Girona 2-0 Almeria

 La Liga has a habit of throwing up surprise results when they are least expected, but we just cannot see that happening in this match. Girona have proved themselves to be a strong outfit this term, and the Catalan outfit should have too much for a struggling Almeria in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 50.34%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
GironaDrawAlmeria
50.34% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 23.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 26.28% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.34% (0.012999999999998 0.01)42.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.93% (0.012 0.01)65.06% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.94% (0.011999999999986 0.01)17.06% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.77% (0.022000000000006 0.02)47.23% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.37% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)29.63% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.32% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)65.68% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Girona 50.34%
    Almeria 26.28%
    Draw 23.37%
GironaDrawAlmeria
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.94% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 50.34%
1-1 @ 10.87%
2-2 @ 5.85%
0-0 @ 5.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.37%
1-2 @ 6.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.15% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 26.28%

How you voted: Girona vs Almeria

Girona
90.8%
Draw
3.1%
Almeria
6.2%
65
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 22
Girona
6-2
Almeria
Castellanos (8'), Tsygankov (34'), Riquelme (36'), Hernandez (43'), Martin (77'), Stuani (79')
Ramazani (66'), Bilal Toure (81')
> Preview
Oct 20, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 10
Almeria
3-2
Girona
Baptistao (13'), Bilal Toure (17'), Embarba (38')
Riquelme (47'), Stuani (83' pen.)
> Preview
Mar 27, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
Almeria
0-1
Girona

Ely (45+1'), Pozo (51')
Garcia (13')
Lozano (19'), Bueno (49'), Sanchez (78'), Carlos (80'), Garcia (83'), Espinosa (89')
Garcia (90+1')
Oct 4, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 8
Girona
1-2
Almeria
Espinosa (62')
Espinosa (40'), Baena (75')
Sadiq (52'), Robertone (68')
Sadiq (34'), Centelles (71'), Robertone (87')
Jun 5, 2021 8pm
Almeria
0-0
Girona
Fernandes (39'), Bunuel (43'), Robertone (52'), Samu (56')
Kebe (67'), Sylla (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
> La Liga Full Table


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