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Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
Valencia logo

Almeria
2 - 2
Valencia

Arribas (59', 69')
Montes (60'), Moreno (78'), Melero (83'), Ramazani (89'), Baptistao (90+11')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lopez (14'), Guerra (63')
Perez (51'), Diakhaby (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 2-1 Almeria
Sunday, September 17 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 3-0 Atletico
Saturday, September 16 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 1-2 Valencia

Valencia played some excellent football against Atletico last time out, and we are backing Los Che to shade a close contest on Saturday. Almeria have a talented squad, but they are finding it difficult to get going at the moment, which could lead to another defeat this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
AlmeriaDrawValencia
28.01% (0.533 0.53) 26.93% (0.146 0.15) 45.05% (-0.675 -0.67)
Both teams to score 48.49% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.77% (-0.253 -0.25)56.23% (0.258 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.72% (-0.206 -0.21)77.27% (0.21000000000001 0.21)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.53% (0.292 0.29)35.46% (-0.288 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.77% (0.304 0.3)72.23% (-0.29900000000001 -0.3)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.14% (-0.44 -0.44)24.86% (0.444 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.53% (-0.619 -0.62)59.46% (0.624 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 28.01%
    Valencia 45.05%
    Draw 26.93%
AlmeriaDrawValencia
1-0 @ 9.14% (0.161 0.16)
2-1 @ 6.59% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.74% (0.12 0.12)
3-1 @ 2.28% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.59% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 28.01%
1-1 @ 12.72% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.82% (0.087 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 12.27% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 8.54% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-3 @ 4.11% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.96% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.38% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 45.05%

How you voted: Almeria vs Valencia

Almeria
10.0%
Draw
13.3%
Valencia
76.7%
60
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Almeria
2-1
Valencia
Melero (49'), Babic (58')
Jan 23, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Valencia
2-2
Almeria
Kluivert (48'), Gaya (65')
Chumi (54'), Portillo (74')
May 23, 2015 5.30pm
Almeria
2-3
Valencia
Partey (9'), Soriano (37')
Manuel Casado (68'), Silva (75')
Otamendi (28'), Feghouli (45'), Paco (80')
Barragan (34'), Parejo (69'), Feghouli (75'), Gaya (86'), Fuego (92')
Parejo (89')
Jan 17, 2015 5pm
Valencia
3-2
Almeria
Parejo (11'), Rodrigo (28'), Negredo (83')
Orban (57'), De Paul (86')
Hemed (13', 33')
Partey (40'), Dubarbier (81')
Mar 27, 2014 9pm
Almeria
2-2
Valencia
Diaz (53', 56')
Corona (9'), Parreu (25'), Trujillo (38'), Diaz (56'), Antonio Verza (86')
Keita (2'), Vargas (34')
Fuego (64'), Pereira (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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