MX23RW : Saturday, July 20 15:28:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alaves logo
Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
Real Madrid logo
Real Sociedad logo
Real Valladolid logo
Sevilla logo
Valencia logo
Villarreal logo
Villarreal logo
La Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Almeria

Villarreal
2 - 1
Almeria

Moreno (45+5'), Sorloth (90+4')
Capoue (26'), Pino (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Akieme (44')
Embarba (53'), Chumi (84'), Puigmal (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cadiz 3-1 Villarreal
Friday, September 1 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 2-3 Celta Vigo
Friday, September 1 at 9pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-1 Almeria

There are likely to be a lot of nerves in the Villarreal camp heading into this match, but it is a kind fixture for the Yellow Submarine against a side below them in the table. We are expecting this game to be tight in terms of the scoreline but are backing Villarreal to navigate their way to an important win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 51.13%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Villarreal in this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawAlmeria
51.13% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08) 22.54% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 26.33% (0.177 0.18)
Both teams to score 61.37% (0.529 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.29% (0.621 0.62)38.71% (-0.619 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.99% (0.65199999999999 0.65)61.01% (-0.65 -0.65)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.67% (0.19800000000001 0.2)15.33% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.93% (0.368 0.37)44.07% (-0.367 -0.37)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48% (0.45699999999999 0.46)27.52% (-0.456 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.97% (0.586 0.59)63.03% (-0.583 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 51.13%
    Almeria 26.33%
    Draw 22.53%
VillarrealDrawAlmeria
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.026000000000002 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.91% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-0 @ 7.42% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.99% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.64% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.86% (0.065 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.81% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.18% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.81% (0.043 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 51.13%
1-1 @ 10.2% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.062 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.22% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.53%
1-2 @ 6.59% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.44% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 26.33%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Almeria

Villarreal
89.5%
Draw
7.0%
Almeria
3.5%
57
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3.15pm
Oct 23, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Villarreal
2-1
Almeria
Baena (56'), Jackson (90+4')
Melero (31')
Dec 5, 2018 7.30pm
Round of 32
Villarreal
8-0
Almeria
Toko Ekambi (23', 30', 36', 47'), Bacca (45', 83' pen.), Moreno (67'), Raba (89')

Castellano (40'), Arzura (81')
Nov 1, 2018 5.30pm
Round of 32
Almeria
3-3
Villarreal
Chema (52' pen.), Gassama (86', 90')
Trujillo (43'), Brice Eteki (90')
Cazorla (67'), Callejon (78' og.), Chukwueze (83')
Gaspar (49')
Mar 15, 2015 11am
Almeria
0-0
Villarreal
Dos Santos (32'), Angel Corona (34'), Velez (64'), Verza (78')
Dos Santos (40')
Rukavina (15'), Antonio Dorado (23'), Costa (37'), Moreno (54'), Pina (85')
Costa (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Athletic Bilbao00000000
2Atletico MadridAtletico00000000
3Celta Vigo00000000
4AlavesAlaves00000000
5Espanyol00000000
6Barcelona00000000
7Getafe00000000
8GironaGirona00000000
9Las PalmasLas Palmas00000000
10Leganes00000000
11Mallorca00000000
12Osasuna00000000
13Rayo Vallecano00000000
14Real BetisBetis00000000
15Real Madrid00000000
16Real Sociedad00000000
17Real ValladolidValladolid00000000
18Sevilla00000000
19Valencia00000000
20Villarreal00000000


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!