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La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de la Cerámica
Almeria

Villarreal
2 - 1
Almeria

Baena (56'), Jackson (90+4')
Moreno (7'), Baena (50'), Torres (57')
Baena (56'), Morlanes (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Melero (31')
Akieme (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Villarreal
Thursday, October 20 at 8pm in La Liga

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Almeria 3-2 Girona
Thursday, October 20 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 3-1 Almeria

 After a tough couple of days, a home tie against newly-promoted opposition is exactly what Villarreal needed, and we expect them to get the job done here. Almeria are high on confidence and should cause one or two problems going forward, but the hosts should be able to see this one through. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 68.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 12.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawAlmeria
68.49% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29) 18.88% (0.107 0.11) 12.62% (0.181 0.18)
Both teams to score 48.67% (0.185 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.65% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)43.34% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.25% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)65.74% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.4% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)11.59% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.43% (-0.194 -0.19)36.57% (0.19 0.19)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.05% (0.265 0.27)44.95% (-0.268 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.11% (0.213 0.21)80.89% (-0.218 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 68.48%
    Almeria 12.62%
    Draw 18.88%
VillarrealDrawAlmeria
2-0 @ 12.09% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-0 @ 11.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.69% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
3-1 @ 6.95% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.68% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.74% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.02% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.61% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 68.48%
1-1 @ 8.98% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.87% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 18.88%
0-1 @ 4.17% (0.038 0.04)
1-2 @ 3.59% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.67% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 0.96% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 12.62%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Almeria

Villarreal
85.3%
Draw
10.3%
Almeria
4.4%
68
Head to Head
Dec 5, 2018 7.30pm
Villarreal
8-0
Almeria
Toko Ekambi (23', 30', 36', 47'), Bacca (45', 83' pen.), Moreno (67'), Raba (89')

Castellano (40'), Arzura (81')
Nov 1, 2018 5.30pm
Almeria
3-3
Villarreal
Chema (52' pen.), Gassama (86', 90')
Trujillo (43'), Brice Eteki (90')
Cazorla (67'), Callejon (78' og.), Chukwueze (83')
Gaspar (49')
Mar 15, 2015 11am
Almeria
0-0
Villarreal

Dos Santos (32'), Angel Corona (34'), Velez (64'), Verza (78')
Dos Santos (40')

Rukavina (15'), Antonio Dorado (23'), Costa (37'), Moreno (54'), Pina (85')
Costa (55')
> Match Report
Oct 19, 2014 8pm
Villarreal
2-0
Almeria
Uche (23', 59')
Costa (26'), Trigueros (39'), Paulista (56'), Gaspar (74'), Cheryshev (75')

Azeez (30'), Verza (80')
> Match Report
Jan 19, 2014 4pm
Villarreal
2-0
Almeria
Uche (3'), Soriano (88' pen.)
Uche (47'), Jaume (82')

Dubarbier (70')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
> La Liga Full Table


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