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La Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 17, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio de la Cerámica
Osauna logo

Villarreal
2 - 0
Osasuna

Danjuma (42', 52' pen.)
Albiol (66'), Trigueros (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brasanac (27'), Herrera (49'), Cruz (61'), Kike (66'), Garcia (72'), Oroz (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austria Vienna 0-1 Villarreal
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Osasuna 1-2 Valencia
Friday, October 7 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-1 Osasuna

Osasuna will certainly be the fresher of the two sides on Monday night, and we are expecting it to be a very close match. Villarreal are due a victory in the league, though, and we are backing the Yellow Submarine to navigate their way to a narrow win in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 70.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 11.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Villarreal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Villarreal.

Result
VillarrealDrawOsasuna
70.08% (0.714 0.71) 18.59% (-0.058 -0.06) 11.32% (-0.657 -0.66)
Both teams to score 45.51% (-1.933 -1.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.64% (-1.433 -1.43)45.35% (1.431 1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.31% (-1.385 -1.39)67.69% (1.384 1.38)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.26% (-0.214 -0.21)11.73% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.12% (-0.46 -0.46)36.88% (0.457 0.46)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.56% (-2.063 -2.06)48.44% (2.061 2.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.45% (-1.539 -1.54)83.55% (1.539 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 70.06%
    Osasuna 11.32%
    Draw 18.59%
VillarrealDrawOsasuna
2-0 @ 13.04% (0.57 0.57)
1-0 @ 12.17% (0.63 0.63)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-0 @ 9.32% (0.331 0.33)
3-1 @ 6.76% (-0.15 -0.15)
4-0 @ 4.99% (0.136 0.14)
4-1 @ 3.62% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.205 -0.21)
5-0 @ 2.14% (0.041 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 70.06%
1-1 @ 8.83% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.68% (0.341 0.34)
2-2 @ 3.43% (-0.255 -0.26)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 18.59%
0-1 @ 4.12% (0.015 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.2% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-2 @ 1.49% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 11.32%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Osasuna

Villarreal
73.9%
Draw
17.8%
Osasuna
8.3%
241
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 1pm
Oct 17, 2021 5.30pm
Villarreal
1-2
Osasuna
Moreno (55')
Capoue (33')
Torro (26'), Avila (87')
Herrera (30'), Garcia (54'), Garcia (60'), Torro (86'), Avila (88')
Apr 11, 2021 1pm
Dec 19, 2020 5.30pm
Osasuna
1-3
Villarreal
Torres (70' pen.)
Sanjurjo (40'), Garcia (79')
Hernandez (19')
Moreno (7', 86'), Nino (29')
Pino (69'), Moreno (83')
Feb 2, 2020 5.30pm
Villarreal
3-1
Osasuna
Alcacer (45'), Pena (54'), Cazorla (59' pen.)
Cazorla (67'), Zambo Anguissa (90'), Nino (90')
Hernandez (48')
Estupinan (3'), Hernandez (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal219753932734
6Mallorca219391926-730
7Rayo Vallecano217862524129
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Osasuna216962530-527
12Sevilla217682430-627
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Getafe215881717023
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes215881929-1023
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2143141442-2815


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