Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 70.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 11.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Villarreal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Villarreal.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Osasuna |
70.08% ( 0.71) | 18.59% ( -0.06) | 11.32% ( -0.66) |
Both teams to score 45.51% ( -1.93) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.64% ( -1.43) | 45.35% ( 1.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.31% ( -1.39) | 67.69% ( 1.38) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.26% ( -0.21) | 11.73% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.12% ( -0.46) | 36.88% ( 0.46) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.56% ( -2.06) | 48.44% ( 2.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.45% ( -1.54) | 83.55% ( 1.54) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Osasuna |
2-0 @ 13.04% ( 0.57) 1-0 @ 12.17% ( 0.63) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.21) 5-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.27% Total : 70.06% | 1-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.65% Total : 18.59% | 0-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.51% Total : 11.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |