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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 4, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de la Cerámica
Elche

Villarreal
4 - 0
Elche

Moreno (26'), Lo Celso (36'), Coquelin (89'), Luis Morales (90+4')
Jackson (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Guti (43'), Milla (59'), Roco (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Elche 0-1 Real Sociedad
Saturday, August 27 at 4.30pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-1 Elche

Villarreal will be bidding to return to winning ways after dropping points against Getafe, and we are expecting the Yellow Submarine to triumph here. Elche are capable of making it a tough game, but the visitors could fall just short at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 73.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Elche had a probability of 9.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.33%) and 3-0 (10.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawElche
73.07% (0.60199999999999 0.6) 17.34% (-0.263 -0.26) 9.59% (-0.339 -0.34)
Both teams to score 43.36% (-0.431 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.27% (0.157 0.16)44.73% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.9% (0.15 0.15)67.1% (-0.151 -0.15)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.23% (0.2 0.2)10.77% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.24% (0.444 0.44)34.76% (-0.445 -0.45)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.59% (-0.594 -0.59)51.41% (0.59399999999999 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.38% (-0.401 -0.4)85.62% (0.40000000000001 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 73.06%
    Elche 9.59%
    Draw 17.34%
VillarrealDrawElche
2-0 @ 13.74% (0.13 0.13)
1-0 @ 12.33% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 10.21% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 5.69% (0.148 0.15)
4-1 @ 3.79% (0.034 0.03)
5-0 @ 2.54% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.69% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
6-0 @ 0.94% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 73.06%
1-1 @ 8.21% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.04% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 17.34%
0-1 @ 3.68% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 2.73% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.23% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 9.59%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Elche

Villarreal
87.1%
Draw
10.8%
Elche
2.2%
93
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 1pm
Elche
1-0
Villarreal
Boye (78')
Gonzalo (10'), Mojica (87'), Gonzalez (90+3'), Milla (90+4')

Parejo (81'), Capoue (90+3'), Iborra (90+4')
Sep 22, 2021 9pm
Villarreal
4-1
Elche
Pino (5'), Trigueros (39'), Danjuma (60'), Moreno (90+4')
Pedraza (27')
Mojica (19')
Fidel (40'), Gonzalez (73')
Feb 6, 2021 5.30pm
Elche
2-2
Villarreal
Carrillo (49'), Boye (64')
Boye (22')
Moreno (16', 35')
Pedraza (62'), Trigueros (70')
Dec 6, 2020 5.30pm
Villarreal
0-0
Elche

Parejo (64'), Albiol (75'), Coquelin (81')

Milla (23'), Fidel (67'), Almiron (73')
May 10, 2015 4pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla186482027-722
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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