Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 56.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Elche had a probability of 21.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.62%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Elche win it was 2-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Elche | Draw | Villarreal |
21.33% | 22.24% | 56.42% |
Both teams to score 56.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.29% | 42.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.89% | 65.11% |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.14% | 33.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.48% | 70.52% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.04% | 14.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.62% | 43.38% |
Score Analysis |
Elche | Draw | Villarreal |
2-1 @ 5.64% 1-0 @ 5.49% 2-0 @ 2.97% 3-1 @ 2.04% 3-2 @ 1.94% 3-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.19% Total : 21.33% | 1-1 @ 10.42% 2-2 @ 5.36% 0-0 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-1 @ 9.62% 0-2 @ 9.14% 1-3 @ 6.27% 0-3 @ 5.79% 2-3 @ 3.4% 1-4 @ 2.98% 0-4 @ 2.75% 2-4 @ 1.61% 1-5 @ 1.13% 0-5 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.79% Total : 56.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |