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La Liga
Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 20, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Girona logo

Almeria
3 - 2
Girona

Baptistao (13'), Bilal Toure (17'), Embarba (38')
Ramazani (85')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Riquelme (47'), Stuani (83' pen.)
Herrera (5'), Bueno (36'), Espinosa (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Betis 3-1 Almeria
Sunday, October 16 at 8pm in La Liga

Girona

All competitions
Last Game: Girona 1-1 Cadiz
Saturday, October 15 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 1-1 Girona

 With both sides desperate for the win, we are predicting a cagey game, with neither side wanting to overcommit and leave themselves vulnerable on the counter. Almeria have looked better going forward in recent weeks, while Girona are always dangerous with Stuani on the pitch, so a score draw would seem to be a plausible outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Girona had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawGirona
46.36% (0.409 0.41) 26.5% (-0.117 -0.12) 27.13% (-0.291 -0.29)
Both teams to score 49.14% (0.142 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.9% (0.282 0.28)55.1% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.65% (0.232 0.23)76.35% (-0.23100000000001 -0.23)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.27% (0.319 0.32)23.73% (-0.318 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.13% (0.454 0.45)57.87% (-0.454 -0.45)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.44% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)35.56% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.67% (-0.087 -0.09)72.33% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 46.35%
    Girona 27.13%
    Draw 26.5%
AlmeriaDrawGirona
1-0 @ 12.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.73% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 46.35%
1-1 @ 12.55% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.44% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 8.73% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-2 @ 6.49% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 27.13%

How you voted: Almeria vs Girona

Almeria
48.6%
Draw
31.4%
Girona
20.0%
105
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2022 8pm
Almeria
0-1
Girona

Ely (45+1'), Pozo (51')
Garcia (13')
Lozano (19'), Bueno (49'), Sanchez (78'), Carlos (80'), Garcia (83'), Espinosa (89')
Garcia (90+1')
Oct 4, 2021 8pm
Girona
1-2
Almeria
Espinosa (62')
Espinosa (40'), Baena (75')
Sadiq (52'), Robertone (68')
Sadiq (34'), Centelles (71'), Robertone (87')
Jun 5, 2021 8pm
Almeria
0-0
Girona

Fernandes (39'), Bunuel (43'), Robertone (52'), Samu (56')

Kebe (67'), Sylla (89')
Jun 2, 2021 8pm
Girona
3-0
Almeria
Joel Barcenas (3'), Couto (5'), Sylla (65')
Juanpe (52'), Franquesa (54')

Balliu (27'), Ramazani (30'), Makaridze (85')
Mar 7, 2021 8pm
Girona
0-1
Almeria

Terrats (49')
Espinosa (90+4')
Sadiq (72')
Samu (27'), Morlanes (50'), Villar (90+4'), Maras (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515
> La Liga Full Table


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