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La Liga
Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 4, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Villarreal logo

Almeria
0 - 2
Villarreal


de la Hoz (14'), Chumi (55'), Suarez Charris (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Moreno (76'), Luis Morales (88')
Foyth (56'), Albiol (67'), Moreno (80'), Lo Celso (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Almeria 1-0 Barcelona
Sunday, February 26 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Villarreal

All competitions
Last Game: Villarreal 2-1 Getafe
Monday, February 27 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 1-1 Villarreal

 Almeria's home form has been so impressive this season, but Villarreal will be determined to prove that they are over their recent run of disappointing results. It would not be a surprise to see a home or indeed an away victory, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawVillarreal
31.11% (0.388 0.39) 24.99% (0.323 0.32) 43.91% (-0.712 -0.71)
Both teams to score 56.3% (-0.894 -0.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.11% (-1.256 -1.26)46.9% (1.256 1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.85% (-1.186 -1.19)69.15% (1.186 1.19)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.62% (-0.367 -0.37)28.38% (0.367 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.88% (-0.464 -0.46)64.13% (0.465 0.47)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.62% (-0.842 -0.84)21.38% (0.842 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.64% (-1.314 -1.31)54.37% (1.313 1.31)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 31.11%
    Villarreal 43.91%
    Draw 24.99%
AlmeriaDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 7.64% (0.321 0.32)
2-1 @ 7.43% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.81% (0.154 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.02% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 31.11%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 6.07% (0.315 0.32)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 9.36% (0.253 0.25)
1-2 @ 9.09% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7.22% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.68% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-3 @ 3.71% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.8% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.43% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 43.91%

How you voted: Almeria vs Villarreal

Almeria
53.7%
Draw
17.1%
Villarreal
29.3%
41
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 5.30pm
Villarreal
2-1
Almeria
Baena (56'), Jackson (90+4')
Moreno (7')
Melero (31')
Dec 5, 2018 7.30pm
Round of 32
Villarreal
8-0
Almeria
Toko Ekambi (23', 30', 36', 47'), Bacca (45', 83' pen.), Moreno (67'), Raba (89')

Castellano (40'), Arzura (81')
Nov 1, 2018 5.30pm
Round of 32
Almeria
3-3
Villarreal
Chema (52' pen.), Gassama (86', 90')
Trujillo (43'), Brice Eteki (90')
Cazorla (67'), Callejon (78' og.), Chukwueze (83')
Gaspar (49')
Mar 15, 2015 11am
Almeria
0-0
Villarreal

Dos Santos (32'), Angel Corona (34'), Velez (64'), Verza (78')
Dos Santos (40')

Rukavina (15'), Antonio Dorado (23'), Costa (37'), Moreno (54'), Pina (85')
Costa (55')
> Match Report
Oct 19, 2014 8pm
Villarreal
2-0
Almeria
Uche (23', 59')
Costa (26'), Trigueros (39'), Paulista (56'), Gaspar (74'), Cheryshev (75')

Azeez (30'), Verza (80')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515
> La Liga Full Table


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