La Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Girona6 - 2Almeria
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cadiz 2-0 Girona
Friday, February 10 at 8pm in La Liga
Friday, February 10 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 2-3 Betis
Saturday, February 11 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Saturday, February 11 at 3.15pm in La Liga
We said: Girona 2-1 Almeria
Girona have been strong at home this season, collecting 18 points from 11 matches, and they will be welcoming an Almeria side who have lost seven of their 10 games on their travels. It would not be a surprise to see a draw here, but we just have a feeling that Girona will navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 20.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Almeria |
54.17% ( 0.42) | 25.19% ( -0.04) | 20.63% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 46.22% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
