La Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Girona2 - 1Sevilla
We said: Girona 1-1 Sevilla
Sevilla are far too good to be struggling towards the bottom of the table, and they should be able to rise up the division in the coming weeks. Girona have only lost twice at home in the league this term, though, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw on Saturday afternoon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 46.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Girona had a probability of 26.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Girona win it was 1-0 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Sevilla |
26.43% ( -0.04) | 26.65% ( 0.01) | 46.92% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.21% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
