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La Liga | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Rayo Vallecano logo

Sevilla
0 - 1
Rayo Vallecano


Isco (68'), Bono (76'), Dmitrovic (78'), Suso (79'), Sampaoli (81'), Navas (86'), Marcao (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Garcia (61')
Catena (63'), Iraola (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 3-0 Copenhagen
Tuesday, October 25 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 5-1 Cadiz
Saturday, October 22 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 2-1 Rayo Vallecano

This has the potential to be a very difficult match for Sevilla, and it would certainly not be a surprise to see Rayo pick up a positive result here. Sevilla will have home advantage, though, and we are backing Sampaoli's side to secure an important three points in Spain's top flight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 19.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
SevillaDrawRayo Vallecano
56.39% (-0.125 -0.13) 23.75% (0.044 0.04) 19.87% (0.078999999999997 0.08)
Both teams to score 49.24% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.07% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)50.93% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.2% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)72.8% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)17.88% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.33% (-0.126 -0.13)48.66% (0.123 0.12)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.96% (0.042000000000002 0.04)40.04% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.31% (0.039000000000001 0.04)76.68% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 56.38%
    Rayo Vallecano 19.87%
    Draw 23.74%
SevillaDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 12.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.09% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.62% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.9% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 56.38%
1-1 @ 11.28% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.16% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 23.74%
0-1 @ 6.55% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.16% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 3% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.58% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 19.87%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano

Sevilla
74.7%
Draw
17.3%
Rayo Vallecano
8.0%
75
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 1pm
Aug 15, 2021 9.15pm
Sevilla
3-0
Rayo Vallecano
En-Nesyri (19' pen.), Lamela (55', 79')
Idrissi (45+5')

Zidane (16')
Apr 25, 2019 6.30pm
Sevilla
5-0
Rayo Vallecano
Promes (55'), El Haddadi (57', 62'), Ben Yedder (69'), Gil (86')
Banega (31')

Galvez (33'), Angel Pozo (52')
Aug 19, 2018 7.15pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-4
Sevilla
Embarba (85' pen.)
Angel Pozo (12')
Vazquez (15'), Silva (31', 45', 79')
Feb 21, 2016 11am
Rayo Vallecano
2-2
Sevilla
Manucho (43'), Miku (62')
Baena (16'), Sanchez (44'), Miku (58'), Embarba (64'), Llorente (75'), Hernandez (93')
Nzonzi (10'), Iborra (20')
Coke (59'), Banega (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515


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