Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 19.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Getafe |
55.94% ( 0.13) | 24.78% ( -0.07) | 19.29% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 45.44% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.48% ( 0.19) | 55.52% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.3% ( 0.16) | 76.7% ( -0.16) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.21% ( 0.13) | 19.79% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.14% ( 0.21) | 51.86% ( -0.21) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.65% ( 0.05) | 43.35% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.42% ( 0.04) | 79.58% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Getafe |
1-0 @ 13.89% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.58% Total : 55.92% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.65% Total : 24.77% | 0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.86% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.35% 2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 19.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |