Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 62.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Diocesano had a probability of 14.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.36%) and 1-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Diocesano win it was 1-0 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.