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La Liga
Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Espanyol logo

Almeria
3 - 1
Espanyol

Suarez Charris (21'), Baptistao (61'), Portillo (77')
Robertone (41'), Portillo (78'), Eguaras (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Joselu (90+3')
Gil (44'), Souza (55'), Puado (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Espanyol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Valencia 2-2 Almeria
Monday, January 23 at 8pm in La Liga

Espanyol

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Espanyol 1-0 Betis
Saturday, January 21 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 1-1 Espanyol

 Espanyol will enter this match full of confidence, but they have only won twice on their travels in the league this season, while Almeria have lost only three of their nine La Liga games at home. Both managers would likely accept a point if it were offered ahead of kickoff, and we have settled on a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawEspanyol
37.76% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 27.87% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 34.37% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.09% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)57.84% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)78.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)29.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.39% (0.010999999999996 0.01)65.61% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.29% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)31.71% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.87% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)68.13% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 37.76%
    Espanyol 34.37%
    Draw 27.87%
AlmeriaDrawEspanyol
1-0 @ 11.42%
2-1 @ 7.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 37.76%
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 9.38% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.87%
0-1 @ 10.77%
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 6.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.89%
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 34.37%

How you voted: Almeria vs Espanyol

Almeria
22.7%
Draw
38.7%
Espanyol
38.7%
119
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2021 8pm
Almeria
1-1
Espanyol
Sadiq (50')
Makaridze (71')
Dimata (58')
Darder (74')
Dec 20, 2020 3pm
Espanyol
2-1
Almeria
De Tomas (9', 84' pen.)
Darder (25'), Lopez (69')
Corpas (51' pen.)
Balliu (44'), Corpas (83'), Jose (90+2')
Jan 25, 2015 6pm
Espanyol
3-0
Almeria
Stuani (37', 40'), Caicedo (74')
Gonzalez (51'), Canas (58')

Partey (39')
> Match Report
Aug 23, 2014 10pm
Almeria
1-1
Espanyol
Soriano (52')
Trujillo (18'), Antonio Rabasco (50'), Partey (83')
Garcia (94')
Arbilla (18'), Garcia (65'), Sanchez (88')
Arbilla (33')
> Match Report
Apr 27, 2014 11am
Espanyol
1-2
Almeria
Stuani (42')
Alvarez (16'), Stuani (29'), Sanchez (71'), Garcia (80')
Stuani (49'), Lopez (90')
Velez (70'), Suso (73')
Dubarbier (33'), Corona (51'), Trujillo (87')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
> La Liga Full Table


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