Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Villarreal |
38.45% ( 1.12) | 27.01% ( -0.11) | 34.54% ( -1.01) |
Both teams to score 50.74% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.47% ( 0.35) | 54.53% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.12% ( 0.29) | 75.88% ( -0.29) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.42% ( 0.81) | 27.58% ( -0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.89% ( 1.04) | 63.1% ( -1.04) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.06% ( -0.47) | 29.93% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.96% ( -0.56) | 66.04% ( 0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.99% Total : 38.44% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.37% Total : 34.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |