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La Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 6, 2022 at 1pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Espanyol logo

Atletico
1 - 1
Espanyol

Felix (78')
Kondogbia (59'), Gimenez (83'), Felix (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Darder (62')
Olivan (34'), Braithwaite (53'), Lecomte (74'), Vidal (85'), El Hilali (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Espanyol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 2-1 Atletico
Tuesday, November 1 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Espanyol
Friday, October 28 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Espanyol

It has not been easy to predict Atletico Madrid this season, but this one feels like too big a game for Diego Simeone's men to lose. Their visitors are notoriously poor travellers, aside from one shock victory, and should not cause too many problems for Los Colchoneros as they look to get back on the winning trail after a tough couple of weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 67.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 12.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.79%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawEspanyol
67.12% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02) 20.7% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 12.18% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 41.81% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.08% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)51.92% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.33% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)73.67% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.4% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)14.6% (0.016 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.31% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)42.69% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.95% (0.007000000000005 0.01)51.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.63% (0.0040000000000013 0)85.37% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 67.1%
    Espanyol 12.18%
    Draw 20.7%
Atletico MadridDrawEspanyol
1-0 @ 14.33%
2-0 @ 13.79%
2-1 @ 9.28%
3-0 @ 8.85% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 4.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.64% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 67.1%
1-1 @ 9.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.45% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.12%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 20.7%
0-1 @ 5.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 12.18%

How you voted: Atletico vs Espanyol

Atletico Madrid
90.8%
Draw
5.0%
Espanyol
4.2%
119
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2022 3.15pm
Atletico
2-1
Espanyol
Carrasco (52', 90+10' pen.)
Kondogbia (37'), Felipe (45'), Savic (76'), Llorente (88')
Kondogbia (71')
De Tomas (74')
Gil (30'), Lopez (33'), Vila (88'), Morlanes (90+3'), Vidal (90+9')
Sep 12, 2021 1pm
Espanyol
1-2
Atletico
De Tomas (40')
Moreno Peris (90+6'), Nico (90+11')
Carrasco (79'), Lemar (90+9')
Hermoso (31'), Kondogbia (82'), Carrasco (90+8'), Felix (90+11')
Mar 1, 2020 3pm
Espanyol
1-1
Atletico
Savic (24' og.)
Embarba (38'), Lopez de Lerma (90'), Sanchez (90')
Niguez (47')
Felipe (6'), Partey (42'), Koke (86'), Lodi (90')
May 4, 2019 3.15pm
Espanyol
3-0
Atletico
Godin (45' og.), Iglesias (52', 89' pen.)
Roca (38')

Morata (59')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Barcelona19122551222938
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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