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La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 30, 2022 at 6.15pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Almeria

Cadiz
1 - 1
Almeria

Perez (83')
Fali (24'), Mari (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Melero (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 0-3 Cadiz
Friday, December 16 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Almeria 1-0 Getafe
Wednesday, November 9 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Cadiz 1-1 Almeria

Almeria's home form this season has been impressive, but their away form has been disastrous, which should hand Cadiz confidence. The Yellow Submarine have only won once in front of their own fans this term, though, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
CadizDrawAlmeria
45.57% (1.049 1.05) 26.29% (-0.69 -0.69) 28.14% (-0.358 -0.36)
Both teams to score 50.47% (1.807 1.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.29% (2.44 2.44)53.71% (-2.44 -2.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.8% (2.017 2.02)75.19% (-2.017 -2.02)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (1.584 1.58)23.51% (-1.584 -1.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.45% (2.241 2.24)57.54% (-2.242 -2.24)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.99% (1.017 1.02)34.01% (-1.017 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.31% (1.082 1.08)70.69% (-1.081 -1.08)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 45.56%
    Almeria 28.14%
    Draw 26.28%
CadizDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 11.57% (-0.58 -0.58)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.225 0.23)
2-0 @ 8.38% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.36% (0.3 0.3)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.172 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.222 0.22)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.175 0.18)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 45.56%
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-0 @ 8% (-0.794 -0.79)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.251 0.25)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 8.62% (-0.598 -0.6)
1-2 @ 6.73% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.65% (-0.186 -0.19)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.136 0.14)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 28.14%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Almeria

Cadiz
31.5%
Draw
43.8%
Almeria
24.7%
73
Head to Head
Feb 29, 2020 5.15pm
Cadiz
2-1
Almeria
Maras (16' og.), Alex (60')
Fali (37'), Perea (76')
Corpas (10')
Jonathan (77'), Costas (84')
Sep 29, 2019 3pm
Almeria
1-2
Cadiz
Corpas (77' pen.)
Maras (36'), Martos (94')
Lozano (69'), Espino (90')
Mari (26'), Lozano (71'), Alberto (94')
Mauro (76')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Almeria
0-0
Cadiz

Brice Eteki (17'), Carlos (21'), Martos (31'), Saveljich (90')

Ramos (35'), Lekic (42'), Mari (60')
Mari (75')
Aug 17, 2018 7pm
Cadiz
1-0
Almeria
Alex (76')
Matos (30'), Agra (56'), Mari (71'), Aketxe (88')

Gassama (2'), Owona (28'), Rioja (50'), Chema (52')
Apr 6, 2018 8pm
Cadiz
0-0
Almeria

Valderrama (18')

Panadero (23'), Nano (38'), Trujillo (75')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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