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Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 1pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Celta Vigo logo

Almeria
3 - 1
Celta Vigo

Lazaro (52'), de la Hoz (60'), Eguaras (90+6')
Embarba (22'), de la Hoz (27'), Melero (84'), Ely (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Veiga (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 2-1 Almeria
Sunday, October 23 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-1 Getafe
Monday, October 24 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 1-1 Celta Vigo

Celta will view this match as the ideal chance to return to winning ways, but Almeria have been victorious in two of their last four and will also believe that they can triumph on Saturday afternoon. These two sides have only drawn three times between them in the league this term, but we can see a stalemate occurring here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawCelta Vigo
46.66% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 25.82%27.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.46% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)52.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.07%73.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.63% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)22.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)55.86% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.28% (0.007000000000005 0.01)33.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)70.37% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 46.66%
    Celta Vigo 27.52%
    Draw 25.81%
AlmeriaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 11.29%
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.59% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.72%
4-0 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 46.66%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 7.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8.2% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 6.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 27.52%

How you voted: Almeria vs Celta Vigo

Almeria
41.0%
Draw
29.5%
Celta Vigo
29.5%
61
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2015 7pm
Celta Vigo
1-0
Almeria
Wass (41')

Velez (40'), Fatau (45'), Zabaco (54')
Dec 2, 2015 8pm
Almeria
1-3
Celta Vigo
Pozo (44')
Cuellar (26'), Fatau (41')
Aspas (17', 35'), Gudetti (73')
Aspas (6')
May 4, 2015 7.45pm
Almeria
2-2
Celta Vigo
Bifouma (47'), Zongo (68')
Bifouma (50'), Dos Santos (59'), Partey (92')
Dos Santos (74')
Nolito (17'), Mina (39')
Mallo (51'), Larrivey (54'), Mina (68')
Cabral (54')
Dec 19, 2014 7.45pm
Celta Vigo
0-1
Almeria

Fernandez (34'), Charles (45'), Mina (50'), Fontas (90'), Orellana (90')
Hemed (18')
Navarro (38'), Hemed (43'), Julian (88'), Dubarbier (90')
Apr 20, 2014 11am
Almeria
2-4
Celta Vigo
Rios (40'), Diaz (88')
Antonio Verza (11'), Mane (42'), Rios (68'), Tebar (72'), Diaz (86')
Nolito (19', 71'), Charles (52'), Orellana (76')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla186482027-722
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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