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Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 1pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Celta Vigo logo

Almeria
3 - 1
Celta Vigo

Lazaro (52'), de la Hoz (60'), Eguaras (90+6')
Embarba (22'), de la Hoz (27'), Melero (84'), Ely (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Veiga (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 2-1 Almeria
Sunday, October 23 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-1 Getafe
Monday, October 24 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 1-1 Celta Vigo

Celta will view this match as the ideal chance to return to winning ways, but Almeria have been victorious in two of their last four and will also believe that they can triumph on Saturday afternoon. These two sides have only drawn three times between them in the league this term, but we can see a stalemate occurring here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawCelta Vigo
46.66% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 25.82%27.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.46% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)52.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.07%73.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.63% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)22.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)55.86% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.28% (0.007000000000005 0.01)33.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)70.37% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 46.66%
    Celta Vigo 27.52%
    Draw 25.81%
AlmeriaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 11.29%
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.59% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.72%
4-0 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 46.66%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 7.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8.2% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 6.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 27.52%

How you voted: Almeria vs Celta Vigo

Almeria
41.0%
Draw
29.5%
Celta Vigo
29.5%
61
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2015 7pm
Celta Vigo
1-0
Almeria
Wass (41')

Velez (40'), Fatau (45'), Zabaco (54')
Dec 2, 2015 8pm
Almeria
1-3
Celta Vigo
Pozo (44')
Cuellar (26'), Fatau (41')
Aspas (17', 35'), Gudetti (73')
Aspas (6')
May 4, 2015 7.45pm
Almeria
2-2
Celta Vigo
Bifouma (47'), Zongo (68')
Bifouma (50'), Dos Santos (59'), Partey (92')
Dos Santos (74')
Nolito (17'), Mina (39')
Mallo (51'), Larrivey (54'), Mina (68')
Cabral (54')
Dec 19, 2014 7.45pm
Celta Vigo
0-1
Almeria

Fernandez (34'), Charles (45'), Mina (50'), Fontas (90'), Orellana (90')
Hemed (18')
Navarro (38'), Hemed (43'), Julian (88'), Dubarbier (90')
Apr 20, 2014 11am
Almeria
2-4
Celta Vigo
Rios (40'), Diaz (88')
Antonio Verza (11'), Mane (42'), Rios (68'), Tebar (72'), Diaz (86')
Nolito (19', 71'), Charles (52'), Orellana (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid22154350212949
2Atletico MadridAtletico22146237142348
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal22107544331137
6Rayo Vallecano228862624232
7Mallorca2293101928-930
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Sevilla227782430-628
12Osasuna216962530-527
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe225981717024
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes225891930-1123
17Espanyol2265112133-1223
18AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2243151547-3215


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