Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 50.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 24.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.48%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Villarreal |
24.17% ( 0.08) | 25.53% ( -0.19) | 50.29% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 49.43% ( 0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.54% ( 0.77) | 53.46% ( -0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.01% ( 0.64) | 74.98% ( -0.65) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.78% ( 0.5) | 37.21% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26% ( 0.49) | 74% ( -0.49) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.72% ( 0.36) | 21.28% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.79% ( 0.55) | 54.2% ( -0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 24.17% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 9.48% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 4.89% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.39% Total : 50.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 33 |
6 | Mallorca | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |