Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 19, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de la Cerámica
Villarreal2 - 3Real Madrid
The Match
Match Report
Real Madrid recover from a two-goal deficit to record a 3-2 win over Villarreal in the last-16 stage of the Copa del Rey.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Villarreal and Real Madrid.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Villarreal and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Thursday's Copa del Rey last-16 clash with Villarreal.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Copa del Rey clash with Villarreal.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-1 Villarreal
Friday, January 13 at 8pm in La Liga
Friday, January 13 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-3 Barcelona
Sunday, January 15 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana
Sunday, January 15 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Madrid |
30.43% ( 0.1) | 23.47% ( -0.23) | 46.09% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 61.22% ( 0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
